BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Chicago St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 297 Conference: Div 1 Independent Record: (2-0) Overall: (11-20) Overall Strength =   14.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L     6.17  54  85    1  41 ( 20- 10) Northwestern           -8.05    -22.95                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    L     2.35  61  83    1 199 ( 18- 13) St Thomas MN          -11.87    -10.13                      
  3 11-14-2022 Home    W    11.69  68  58    1 360 (  5- 27) IUPUI                  -2.53     12.53                      
  4 11-16-2022 Home    W    24.69  87  74    1 287 ( 11- 21) Valparaiso             10.46      2.54                      
  5 11-19-2022 Away    L     5.29  59  88    1  78 ( 25-  6) Kent                   -8.93    -20.07                      
  6 11-21-2022 Away    L    21.91  70  82    1  79 ( 24-  8) Marshall                7.69    -19.69                      
  7 11-23-2022 Away    L    10.57  63  77    1 191 ( 20- 12) Cleveland St           -3.66    -10.34                      
  8 11-26-2022 Away    L    27.25  68  82    1  13 ( 25-  6) Marquette              13.02 *  -27.02                      
  9 12-01-2022 Away    L    -1.43  73  86    1 350 ( 12- 19) Bethune-Cookman       -15.66      2.66                      
 10 12-04-2022 Home    W    29.27  78  61    1 275 ( 16- 16) Southern Indiana       15.04      1.96                      
 11 12-11-2022 Away    L    19.09  74  75 1  1 280 ( 19- 14) TN Martin               4.87     -5.87                      
 12 12-13-2022 Away    L    21.58  65  66    1 226 ( 17- 15) Murray St               7.36     -8.36                      
 13 12-16-2022 Away    L    17.47  52  63    1 127 ( 23- 10) S Illinois              3.24    -14.24                      
 14 12-19-2022 Away    L     5.28  52  66    1 274 ( 11- 21) Illinois St            -8.94     -5.06                      
 15 12-22-2022 Away    L    20.53  55  58    1 213 (  8- 20) Minnesota               6.30     -9.30                      
 16 12-28-2022 Away    L    19.39  63  70    1 160 ( 20- 11) Ball St                 5.17    -12.17                      
 17 12-30-2022 Away    L    11.14  59  76    1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio                   -3.09    -13.91                      
 18 01-09-2023 Home    W    -1.29  90  70   ZZ 199 (  0-  2) East-West             -15.51 *   35.51                      
 19 01-11-2023 Away    L    17.50  63  73    1 155 ( 15- 15) Tarleton St             3.28    -13.28                      
 20 01-14-2023 Away    L    18.23  82  85    1 247 ( 15- 16) UTRGV                   4.00     -7.00                      
 21 01-23-2023 Away    W    22.85  74  70    1 291 ( 11- 20) Coastal Car             8.63     -4.63                      
 22 01-25-2023 Away    L    26.51  65  72    1  85 ( 13- 18) Stanford               12.29    -19.29                      
 23 01-28-2023 Home    W    14.22 101  66   ZZ 197 (  0-  1) Aurora                 -0.00 *   35.00                      
 24 01-30-2023 Away    W    16.43  76  75    1 325 ( 10- 22) Citadel                 2.20     -1.20                      
 25 02-04-2023 Away    W *  17.58  62  49    1 362 (  5- 23) Hartford                3.36      9.64                      
 26 02-07-2023 Away    L     4.82  60  66    1 357 (  6- 23) Delaware St            -9.40      3.40                      
 27 02-11-2023 Home    W    14.22  91  67   ZZ 120 (  0-  1) St Xavier IL           -0.00     24.00                      
 28 02-17-2023 Home    W    20.21 103  56   ZZ 237 (  0-  2) Calumet-St Jos          5.99 *   41.01                      
 29 02-19-2023 Home    W *  19.83  75  53    1 362 (  5- 23) Hartford                5.61     16.39                      
 30 03-01-2023 Away    L     5.35  65 104    1  11 ( 26-  5) Gonzaga                -8.87 *  -30.13                      
 31 03-04-2023 Away    L    -7.79  72 108    1 130 ( 11- 19) Fresno St             -22.01    -13.99                      
      Averages              14.22  70.3 73.0

Best game:   29.27 = 17 point win over Southern Indiana
Worst game:  -7.79 = 36 point loss to Fresno St
Team stdev:   9.29